Category Archives: Elections

Electoral forecasting for 2012 catalan elections: what can go wrong.

So finally election day has come. Let me stress again the historical importance of today’s elections, which can be noticed by the interest of international press (The New York Times, The Guardian, Le Monde, The Wall Street Journal, The Times, … Continue reading

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Final electoral forecasting for catalan elections 2012

After the last 5 polls yesterday we finally have the final forecasting for the catalan elections. Again, it is worth mentioning the historical importance of such elections, both at the Catalan, Spanish and International level. Although the accuracy of the … Continue reading

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The EU internal enlargement: elections in Flanders, the Scottish referendum and polls for elections in Catalonia and

This weekend three different regions in Europe have coincided to bring the discussion of a hypothetical EU internal enlargement by means of the most elementary tool of democracy: voting. First, local elections in Belgium have been interpreted by the winning … Continue reading

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Forecasting elections by polling the polls

Democratic institutions are filled with individuals choosen on free elections. Although forecasting behaviour of individuals may not be the first and single purpose of social science, this blog will start with an entry about the uses of Bayesian tools to … Continue reading

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